Since the merger, 11 offensive linemen have been named a first-team All-Pro in four consecutive seasons, and nine of them are in the Hall of Fame. I polled my Twitter followers and found that 42.6% of voters thought Rivers was a Hall of Famer. If that seems surprising after what he accomplished last season, remember that it was his first season with either a Pro Bowl or an All-Pro nod. One more nomination should get Smith in. The Nebraska product nearly won a Super Bowl with the Rams in 2018, but a win with the Bucs and one more All-Pro appearance would greatly help his chances. After being retired for five years, players maintain modern-era eligibility for 20 years, after which their cases go to the seniors committee. Larry Fitzgerald Says Aaron Rodgers Should Play for the Dallas Cowboys Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers (12) hands off. Kelce is difficult to judge because tight ends aren't well represented in the Hall. In part, that has been driven by health; the only other wideout ranking in the top 100 for receiving yards who has played all 80 games over the past five seasons is Larry Fitzgerald. Watt's last name and presence on a high-profile defense won't hurt. He is right on the borderline between the "Work to do" and "In the running" tiers. Unless he really hangs on into his 40s, he'll finish as the second-most-productive tight end in history, behind Tony Gonzalez. Edelman has never made a Pro Bowl, but the only . The superstar edge rusher has made the Pro Bowl every year except 2013, when he was suspended before going down with a torn ACL. Julio Jones (2011-17): 8,076, two-time All-Pro, will be a Hall-of-Famer Jerry Rice (1985-89): 7,370, Hall-of-Famer, greatest receiver of all time Randy Moss (1998-2003): 7,258, Hall-of-Famer Torry Holt (1999-2004): 7,147, most yards through five years in NFL history Copyright 2000-2023 Sports Reference LLC. Cliff Branch and Herman Moore are two of the few exceptions, but their performance fell off significantly after their third All-Pro trip and never recovered to their prior level. The former star wide receiver on Thursday was not elected in his second time as a modern-era finalist in as many years of eligibility. Evans was a big-time NFL prospect. Jackson and teammate Kyle Fuller both slipped last season, but each earned Pro Bowl nods, and that's going to matter more to voters 15 years from now than how either player actually performed in 2019. Often, I'm making an educated guess as to what would get a player in by looking at which accomplishments and plaudits matter more to voters. Kamara was also Offensive Rookie of the Year, which helps his chances further. 19 Won't: Maurice Jones-Drew Tucker is only nine years in, and while he can kick for a long time if he stays healthy, asking anyone in the NFL to do anything for 13 more seasons is risky. Hester was a (great) returner, which typically doesn't inspire the same sort of fervor as other All-Pro nods, while Jackson actually started with three consecutive All-Pro nods before dropping off and retiring after nine years. After all, offensive tackle Joe Thomas was elected Thursday on the first ballot despite never playing a playoff game in 11 seasons with the Browns, who were more often than not the NFLs standard for team ineptitude. In the running (40% to 69%): RB Saquon Barkley. He will be a first-ballot Hall of Famer. Work to do (10% to 39%): RB Derrick Henry, OT Taylor Lewan, DE Vic Beasley Jr., S Kevin Byard. This trio is. Julio or Hopkins: Who's the better bet to lead in receiving? Of the 27 Hall-eligible players who have pulled that off, 14 are enshrined. Reggie Wayne, a Senior Bowl Hall of Famer, prepped Jalen Wayne for what to . Newton has an MVP award, which goes a long way toward pushing any player into the Hall of Fame. Elroy 'Crazylegs' Hirsch, future Hall of Fame wide receiver, led the best draft class in Rams history in 1945. 260 players who could win MVP Let's see whether we can get a sense of who those 50 are right now: Jump to a team: Judging safeties on interceptions is stupid, but we haven't evolved beyond that point. Only nine players have done that in league history; outside of Green, the only player of the bunch who isn't in the Hall of Fame or a lock to get in is offensive tackle Richmond Webb, who played a much less notable position. The NFL's 2023 Hall of Fame Game will feature the Cleveland Browns and New York Jets, the Hall announced Tuesday. Suggs logged 139 sacks, good for eighth all-time. He previously worked as the sports editor at the Corpus Christi Caller-Times. Work to do (10% to 39%): QB Baker Mayfield, DE Myles Garrett. Hekker's case is interesting. Find out more. Longtime teammate Jeff Bagwell, meanwhile, had to wait until his seventh year on the ballot before gaining enshrinement to Cooperstown. Likely (70% to 99%): WR DeAndre Hopkins, CB Patrick Peterson. Both Bosa and Kittle could make this tier placement look stupid if they have big seasons in 2020. Players with two Pro Bowls and one first-team All-Pro spot across their first three seasons who are eligible for the Hall have made it just over 48% of the time. He's ahead of guys like Von Miller, Dwight Freeney, Terrell Suggs and Bruce Smith, and while he played more games than all but Suggs, the fact that he was a productive pass-rusher from the jump as a 21-year-old is a positive. Orlovsky sounds off on Wentz not making top 100 list. Mahomes' rsum -- a league MVP and Super Bowl MVP -- is usually enough to get a player into the Hall of Fame, let alone doing it over two seasons as a starter. The 49ers' two-decade-plus string of Pro Bowl quarterbacks and near-two-decade run of employing an all-time receiving talent abruptly stopped in 2004. Players the Jaguars could target Watson is one of the best quarterbacks in football, although he might struggle to earn first-team All-Pro nods when stuck in the same time frame as Mahomes. Center Rodney Hudson deserves more attention, but he has been stuck behind Maurkice Pouncey in the AFC and has only three Pro Bowls to show across his seven years as a starter with the Chiefs and Raiders. Both players are on a streak, and their chances depend on keeping that streak going. "Nuk" has been a first-team All-Pro in each of his past three seasons, which is the sort of run that earns skill-position players a trip to Canton on their own. Adams has two Pro Bowls and an All-Pro nod across his first three seasons, putting him in a group with safeties such as Kenny Easley, Steve Atwater, Ed Reed and Troy Polamalu. So this is really a list of 15. In the running (40% to 69%): QB Dak Prescott, WR Amari Cooper. Landry's hip surgery then looms as a problem; if he can get past it and keep this up, he profiles as a borderline Hall of Famer. Ranking the top outlier contracts With Anthony Harris hoovering up interceptions and Jamal Adams and Minkah Fitzpatrick emerging, 31-year-old Smith probably needs to earn that nod in the next year or two. If Wagner makes it to another Pro Bowl or two, I don't think Willis' status will matter. The players listed below are the top 250 HOFm-rated players who played WR starting in 1955 or later for at least 50 career games. Whether Johnson will be there to welcome Watt into the Hall of Fame will be interesting. Casey has made five consecutive Pro Bowls, but the Titans were willing to cut him this offseason before trading him for a seventh-round pick, which also seems telling about where they saw his future. Hightower and McCourty have made only two Pro Bowls each, and while they'll get a bump for their Super Bowl rings, it's tough to imagine them getting in when guys like Richard Seymour, Tedy Bruschi and Mike Vrabel didn't make it from the first era of Pats Super Bowl winners. We're in a pass-happy era, but Thomas has more receptions (470) and receiving yards (5,512) than any other players in league history through their first four seasons. The best trade Andy Reid ever made was moving up in the draft for Mahomes in 2017. Allen will have a tougher time (presumably) without Yannick Ngakoue or Calais Campbell around in 2020, but he's off to a great start. McCardell and Smith dubbed "Thunder . David has been supremely underrated during his career, but after earning a first-team All-Pro nod in 2013, he has made it to a lone Pro Bowl over the ensuing six seasons. Three different Cowboys defenders make this list, and you could make a case for Jaylon Smith, too. Most importantly: This is my opinion of who is likely to get in given current rsums, not who belongs in. With their city hosting the Final Four, the Cougars don't shy from national title talk. He also earned two major awards: Defensive Rookie of the Year and Defensive Player of the Year the following season. Cooper has made four Pro Bowls in his first five seasons. NE | NO | NYG | NYJ | PHI | PIT | SF As a result, I'll mention them often, especially when looking at players who don't touch the ball frequently. Is Gore a lock to get into the Hall of Fame? Players with that sort of injury history early in their careers typically don't have the sort of lengthy peak needed to become a Hall of Famer. Likely (60% to 99%): RB Frank Gore. Kelce has been a first-team All-Pro three consecutive times, although he oddly didn't make the Pro Bowl in two of those campaigns. I had Wagner as a lock when I first compiled this list. The reason Jackson is in this section and Fuller is in the next group is that Jackson has made two Pro Bowls in three seasons while Fuller has two across six years. Question, Comment, Feedback, or Correction? Wilson is somewhere in the 90% range. Theyre easily first-ballot selections. Lock (100%): QB Patrick Mahomes. The induction process, like so many things, is on hold. James was a first-team All-Pro as a rookie, and while he missed 11 games in 2019 with a foot injury, he should get back on track in 2020. The Cal product has five Pro Bowls and a first-team All-Pro appearance through his age-30 season. Elliott should be a prohibitive favorite to get in. We don't talk enough about Hunter, who only has two Pro Bowl nods over his first five seasons. Here's everything we know, Richardson sets QB mark for vertical, broad jump, QB Young 5-10 1/8, 204 pounds at NFL combine, Sources: Patriots tell QB Hoyer he's being cut, Horns' Robinson: Versatility worthy of early pick, Jones: Not fixated on Cowboys' drought, just '23, Sources: Raiders plan franchise tag for Jacobs, WR Addison to Steelers' Pickett: 'Come get me', Wolverines' Turner wows with 4.26 40 at combine, Everything you need to know about Geno Smith's contract negotiations. Both are locks for election. Allen was named a Pro Bowler after racking up 10.5 sacks as a rookie. He's in line behind guys like Atkins unless the USC product continues to make Pro Bowls deep into his 30s. Lock (100%): QB Ben Roethlisberger. The only wide receiver from Carmichael's era who had more TD catches was Paul Warfield, who had 85. Wilson hasn't missed a game as a pro, so as long as he plays another five or six seasons and continues to rank among the better quarterbacks in football, he should be fine. Work to do (10% to 39%): QB Carson Wentz, TE Zach Ertz, CB Darius Slay. Work to do (10% to 39%): TE George Kittle, DE Nick Bosa. In the running (40% to 69%): RB Christian McCaffrey. Likely (70% to 99%): TE Rob Gronkowski. A score of 100 is around the average modern-era inductee. All logos are the trademark & property of their owners and not Sports Reference LLC. Sanders started 16 regular season games at cornerback and another eight at wide receiver - becoming the first two-way starter in the NFL since the Philadelphia Eagles Chuck Bednarik, who retired in 1962. Everyone but Hill is either a lock or extremely likely to make it in. Heres what those guys did in their first five seasons and where they rank among all receivers in the age-21-to-25 cohort. Assessing Browns' FA needs. Cox has made five consecutive Pro Bowls, although only one of those seasons resulted in a first-team All-Pro nod. The former LSU corner was already a star on the field after his 2018 campaign, but getting that first nod is usually tougher than getting invited back. Collins was a Defensive Player of the Year candidate in 2016 and has three Pro Bowls across his first five seasons. Only Chandler Jones and Aaron Donald have more sacks since the start of 2017. A healthy, available Garrett is a Defensive Player of the Year candidate and could rise quickly. Tickets go on sale on Wednesday, September 1st at: www.radiohalloffame.com.
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